Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 51% (57–54, n=111) · PM monthly #761 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$16.0K
Record
57W / 54L
Win Rate
51.0%
of 111 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1714
Source
PM monthly #761
Trades
4
Markets
130
Volume
$176.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Yandex $1.1K · now 19¢ · in at 54¢against the consensus (Team Spirit)
Specialties
78 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 47¢- Esports
+47 pts
side won 93% of 58 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +43%
- Tennis
+51 pts
side won 100% of 17 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +39%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 100% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 49%(won 87% of 38)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 97% of 31)
- 70¢ and up: 3%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.