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7A
Consensus PnL $1.2M · win rate 54% (129–110, n=239) · PM monthly #14 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x7ad71d79...663842aaPolymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$1.2M
Record
129W / 110L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 239 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1521
Source
PM monthly #14
Trades
613
Markets
242
Volume
$10.5M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-11-01?No $50K · now 70¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (23% of 13)
- Will CD La Serena win on 2026-11-01?Yes $15K · now 40¢ · in at 38¢with the consensus (29% of 14)
- CD Huachipato vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5Over $14K · now 42¢ · in at 57¢with the consensus (13% of 8)
Specialties
129 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 50¢- Soccer
+50 pts
side won 100% of 129 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 45%(won 100% of 58)
- 50–70¢: 52%(won 100% of 67)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.