Consensus PnL -$195K · win rate 58% (11–8, n=19) · was PM monthly #701 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-195.4K
Record
11W / 8L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 19 settled
Batting Avg
92.8%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#858
Source
PM monthly #701
Record (90 d)
13/17 · 76%
Trades
754
Markets
20
Volume
$520.5K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsTheMongolz $24K · now 66¢ · in at 38¢with the consensus (53% of 69)
Specialties
17 settled consensus markets · held side won 76% at an average entry of 59¢- NBA
+16 pts
side won 75% of 16 · avg entry 59¢
ROI −7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 60% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 35%(won 67% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 35%(won 100% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.