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Consensus PnL -$12K · win rate 69% (42–19, n=61) · was PM monthly #283 · holds 1 consensus position
0x3435519d...c1a5a1edPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-11.9K
Record
42W / 19L
Win Rate
69.0%
of 61 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#797
Source
PM monthly #283
Trades
186
Markets
80
Volume
$2.3M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $33 · now 8¢ · in at 6¢with the consensus (100% of 9)
Specialties
48 settled consensus markets · held side won 83% at an average entry of 79¢- Soccer
+6 pts
side won 87% of 30 · avg entry 81¢
ROI +10%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 0% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 15%(won 57% of 7)
- 70¢ and up: 75%(won 100% of 36)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.