Consensus PnL $11K · win rate 56% (123–97, n=220) · was PM monthly #1000 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$11.5K
Record
123W / 97L
Win Rate
56.0%
of 220 settled
Batting Avg
46.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1458
Source
PM monthly #1000
Record (90 d)
139/195 · 71%
Trades
196
Markets
312
Volume
$454.6K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: LEGION vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerHULIGANI $1.2K · now 100¢ · in at 48¢with the consensus (54% of 38)
Specialties
194 settled consensus markets · held side won 72% at an average entry of 58¢- Esports
+14 pts
side won 72% of 194 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 0% of 13)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 51% of 39)
- 50–70¢: 53%(won 79% of 102)
- 70¢ and up: 21%(won 95% of 40)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.