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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4

Yes96¢No4¢Ends Wed, Nov 4, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes96%
No5%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance96.7%

95.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3.37
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
103.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xdd808a96...097a74
Slug
bitcoin-above-74k-on-november-4-2026

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