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PolyConsensus

Unusual new money

Open markets where wallets that are new to the site hold a big position. New wallets betting big against the crowd. This is not proof that anyone knows anything.

A wallet is flagged when its first trade of $1,000 or more was seen at most 30 days ago, it had at most 10 earlier Polymarket actions, and it holds at least $5.0K on the market. A flagged wallet stays on this page for as long as the market is open and the wallet still holds; it leaves when the market closes or the wallet has sold out. Figures are floors built from the large fills the site saw; P/L is unrealised, at the price shown, and covers every flagged wallet. How it works

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35 of 35 marketsSort: P/L ↓WalletsNewest entrySizeUpdated
MarketWalletsSide · priceTotal inP/LEntered
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics1818 against the crowdYes · 35¢24 h: 1 adding (+$15.6K)$212.9K+$30.9K+14.5%first
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics22 against the crowdYes · 19.2¢$45.3K+$19.4K+42.7%first
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics10Yes · 95¢24 h: 1 adding (+$50.1K)$380.8K+$8.2K+2.1%first
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics4Yes · 76.5¢24 h: 1 adding (+$9.9K)$79.7K+$6.2K+7.8%first
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics22 against the crowdYes · 36.9¢$21.9K+$5.4K+24.7%first
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics6Yes · 73¢24 h: 2 adding (+$22.4K)$73.0K+$4.6K+6.3%first
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics2Yes · 82¢$59.0K+$3.6K+6.1%first
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 25¢24 h: 1 adding (+$40.0K)$40.0K+$3.5K+8.7%
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 10.7¢$117.2K+$1.3K+1.1%
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Politics1Yes · 77¢$20.0K+$993+5%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Politics1Yes · 68¢$11.8K+$620+5.2%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Other1Yes · 96.2¢$7.0K+$447+6.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Other1No · 96¢24 h: 1 adding (+$28.5K)$28.5K+$300+1.1%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics1No · 94.5¢$19.0K+$298+1.6%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics1Yes · 98.4¢$100.0K+$268+0.3%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics1Yes · 97.5¢$20.0K+$249+1.2%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics1Yes · 84.5¢$23.0K+$199+0.9%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics2Yes · 68.6¢24 h: 1 adding (+$25.0K)$30.0K+$119+0.4%first
Eagles vs. CommandersSports11 against the crowdEagles · 30¢$13.2K$00%
Titans vs. BengalsSports11 against the crowdBengals · 87¢24 h: 1 adding (+$10.0K)$10.0K$00%
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics22 against the crowdYes · 65¢24 h: 1 adding (+$56.8K)$84.5K−$180%first
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics1Yes · 81¢$9.2K−$271-2.9%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics11 against the crowdNo · 29¢24 h: 1 adding (+$10.0K)$10.0K−$333-3.3%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics1Yes · 75¢$8.1K−$533-6.6%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 40.5¢$5.1K−$600-11.8%
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 30.8¢$8.6K−$1.6K-18.5%
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Sports1No · 77¢24 h: 1 adding (+$59.3K)$59.3K−$2.2K-3.7%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 28.5¢$9.8K−$2.2K-22.4%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics11 against the crowdYes · 22.5¢$14.1K−$2.7K-19.1%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 20¢$19.7K−$3.7K-19%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?Sports11 against the crowdYes · 40.7¢24 h: 1 adding (+$13.8K)$16.7K−$6.8K-40.9%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics21 against the crowdNo · 29¢both sides flagged$316.2K−$11.6K-3.7%first
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics76 against the crowdYes · 30¢both sides flagged24 h: 1 adding (+$30.0K)$258.9K−$31.6K-12.2%first
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 1.2¢$53.3K−$52.3K-98.2%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics11 against the crowdYes · 5¢$130.0K−$57.0K-43.9%

Not financial advice. Data for bots: GET /api/v1/new-money (API docs).