Consensus PnL $75K · win rate 47% (366–414, n=780) · was PM monthly #992 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$75.0K
Record
366W / 414L
Win Rate
47.0%
of 780 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1916
Source
PM monthly #992
Trades
619
Markets
998
Volume
$490.4K
Specialties
192 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 61¢- Crypto
+39 pts
side won 100% of 121 · avg entry 61¢
ROI +42%
- Finance
+51 pts
side won 100% of 12 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +49%
- Soccer
+33 pts
side won 96% of 23 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +25%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 90% of 20)
- 30–50¢: 22%(won 100% of 43)
- 50–70¢: 29%(won 98% of 56)
- 70¢ and up: 38%(won 99% of 73)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.