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PolyConsensus

Finance: what top Polymarket traders hold

Stocks, indices, commodities and company events. These are the Finance markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.

A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.

Live consensus markets
116
Recently settled, consensus right
10 of 31
Prices as of
Nov 1, 14:40 UTC

Live Finance consensus markets (116)

Showing the 100 markets with the most traders of 116; the markets page has them all.

Top traders in Finance

Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Finance consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.

  1. 1.881112+40 ptsside won 100% of 42 · avg entry 60¢ · ROI +32%
  2. 2.Dimpled-Foal+33 ptsside won 97% of 143 · avg entry 65¢ · ROI +39%
  3. 3.0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819+51 ptsside won 100% of 12 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +49%
  4. 4.196874353278+52 ptsside won 85% of 13 · avg entry 33¢ · ROI +44%
  5. 5.test456y78+37 ptsside won 85% of 48 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +17%
  6. 6.Albert 1953+27 ptsside won 91% of 331 · avg entry 64¢ · ROI +31%
  7. 7.PhongLeXBT+33 ptsside won 73% of 44 · avg entry 39¢ · ROI +28%
  8. 8.0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271+28 ptsside won 100% of 33 · avg entry 72¢ · ROI +31%
  9. 9.lissartter+23 ptsside won 91% of 161 · avg entry 68¢ · ROI 0%
  10. 10.luck00004+33 ptsside won 100% of 20 · avg entry 67¢ · ROI +18%

Recently settled Finance markets

What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.

Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.