Consensus PnL $21K · win rate 73% (207–75, n=282) · PM monthly #908 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$21.3K
Record
207W / 75L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 282 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#632
Source
PM monthly #908
Trades
6
Markets
299
Volume
$370.4K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5Under $4.0K · now 81¢ · in at 88¢with the consensus (50% of 10)
- Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under $2.9K · now 84¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
Specialties
113 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 80¢- Soccer
+17 pts
side won 95% of 43 · avg entry 78¢
ROI +13%
- Esports
+13 pts
side won 90% of 40 · avg entry 77¢
ROI +15%
- Crypto
+6 pts
side won 92% of 24 · avg entry 85¢
ROI +7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 0% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 2%(won 0% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 88% of 16)
- 70¢ and up: 82%(won 95% of 93)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.