Consensus PnL $60K · win rate 37% (123–208, n=331) · was PM monthly #989 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$60.2K
Record
123W / 208L
Win Rate
37.0%
of 331 settled
Batting Avg
71.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1578
Source
PM monthly #989
Record (90 d)
27/28 · 96%
Trades
2,682
Markets
376
Volume
$436.2K
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Specialties
164 settled consensus markets · held side won 55% at an average entry of 37¢- Soccer
+37 pts
side won 81% of 54 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +33%
- F1
+4 pts
side won 25% of 53 · avg entry 21¢
ROI −2%
- Elections
+12 pts
side won 55% of 11 · avg entry 42¢
ROI +7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 49%(won 32% of 81)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 67% of 24)
- 50–70¢: 19%(won 74% of 31)
- 70¢ and up: 17%(won 93% of 28)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.