F1: what top Polymarket traders hold
Formula 1 races and championships. These are the F1 markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 6
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 2 of 11
- Prices as of
- Nov 1, 14:40 UTC
Live F1 consensus markets (6)
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Traders hold Yes 81%17 of 21 tradersMarket price 100¢$304K held
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Traders hold Yes 85%11 of 13 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$4K heldagainst the market price
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Traders hold Yes 85%11 of 13 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$1K heldagainst the market price
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Traders hold Yes 50%6 of 12 tradersMarket price 100¢$4K held
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Traders hold No 60%6 of 10 tradersMarket price 84¢$24K held
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Traders hold No 10%1 of 10 tradersMarket price 100¢$10K held
Top traders in F1
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled F1 consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.DOLLAR-PRINTER+32 ptsside won 100% of 27 · avg entry 68¢ · ROI +26%
- 2.Ryxon21+39 ptsside won 94% of 17 · avg entry 55¢ · ROI +6%
- 3.0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704+19 ptsside won 95% of 155 · avg entry 76¢ · ROI −13%
- 4.SunlineTicker+26 ptsside won 95% of 40 · avg entry 69¢ · ROI +26%
- 5.Tobias1909+19 ptsside won 94% of 68 · avg entry 75¢ · ROI +24%
- 6.purplegatto+30 ptsside won 100% of 16 · avg entry 70¢ · ROI +32%
- 7.cry.eth2+13 ptsside won 19% of 502 · avg entry 6¢ · ROI +7%
- 8.ABC12345654321+20 ptsside won 100% of 22 · avg entry 80¢ · ROI −18%
- 9.poposub+14 ptsside won 100% of 35 · avg entry 86¢ · ROI +21%
- 10.rated+11 ptsside won 98% of 62 · avg entry 87¢ · ROI −12%
Recently settled F1 markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- Will Driver F be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Will Another Driver be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Will Driver E be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Will Driver G be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Will Driver C be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Will Driver H be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Will Driver D be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Will Driver I be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Will another team be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Result: NoTraders held No 60%consensus was right
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Result: NoTraders held No 80%consensus was right
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.