Consensus PnL -$8.0K · win rate 53% (119–105, n=224) · was PM monthly #777 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-8.0K
Record
119W / 105L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 224 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1579
Source
PM monthly #777
Trades
72
Markets
248
Volume
$309.4K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo SonegoAdolfo Vallejo $782 · now 0¢ · in at 34¢against the consensus (Lorenzo Sonego)
Specialties
146 settled consensus markets · held side won 75% at an average entry of 52¢- Tennis
+24 pts
side won 80% of 107 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +17%
- Esports
+31 pts
side won 60% of 10 · avg entry 29¢
ROI +9%
- Crypto
+17 pts
side won 62% of 26 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 18%(won 48% of 27)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 65% of 37)
- 50–70¢: 32%(won 83% of 47)
- 70¢ and up: 24%(won 97% of 35)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.