Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 43% (71–93, n=164) · was PM monthly #752 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$24.9K
Record
71W / 93L
Win Rate
43.0%
of 164 settled
Batting Avg
75.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1451
Source
PM monthly #752
Record (90 d)
70/102 · 69%
Trades
4,341
Markets
170
Volume
$781.2K
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Specialties
102 settled consensus markets · held side won 69% at an average entry of 40¢- Esports
+27 pts
side won 67% of 85 · avg entry 40¢
ROI +26%
- Soccer
+37 pts
side won 73% of 15 · avg entry 36¢
ROI +22%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 25%(won 40% of 25)
- 30–50¢: 47%(won 77% of 48)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 79% of 29)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.