Consensus PnL -$11K · win rate 48% (91–100, n=191) · was PM monthly #982 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-11.0K
Record
91W / 100L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 191 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1882
Source
PM monthly #982
Trades
88
Markets
203
Volume
$225.7K
Specialties
112 settled consensus markets · held side won 81% at an average entry of 49¢- NFL
+50 pts
side won 100% of 27 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +50%
- Soccer
+37 pts
side won 91% of 33 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +34%
- College Football
+36 pts
side won 88% of 24 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +37%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 20% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 37%(won 85% of 41)
- 50–70¢: 54%(won 88% of 60)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.