Consensus PnL -$66K · win rate 46% (814–967, n=1781) · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-65.6K
Record
814W / 967L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 1781 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2219
Trades
1,655
Markets
1,871
Volume
$2.2M
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Specialties
1,689 settled consensus markets · held side won 46% at an average entry of 47¢- NHL
+3 pts
side won 50% of 105 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +5%
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 46% of 446 at an average 51¢ entry (−5 pts against the price), ROI −7%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 23% of 122)
- 30–50¢: 58%(won 42% of 979)
- 50–70¢: 29%(won 55% of 496)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 70% of 92)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.