Consensus PnL $22K · win rate 63% (1814–1077, n=2891) · was PM monthly #1000 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$22.1K
Record
1814W / 1077L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 2891 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1006
Source
PM monthly #1000
Trades
142
Markets
2,911
Volume
$358.7K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp $288 · now 100¢ · in at 87¢with the consensus (62% of 23)
- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp $99 · now 0¢ · in at 40¢against the consensus (Down)
Specialties
1,392 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 63¢- Crypto
+35 pts
side won 98% of 1392 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +36%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 95% of 61)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 98% of 325)
- 50–70¢: 30%(won 98% of 421)
- 70¢ and up: 42%(won 99% of 585)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.