Consensus PnL $28K · win rate 64% (1173–672, n=1845) · was PM monthly #976 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$27.7K
Record
1173W / 672L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 1845 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#968
Source
PM monthly #976
Trades
457
Markets
2,031
Volume
$3.9M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: Bengals (-10.5)Bengals $12 · now 57¢ · in at 49¢against the consensus (Titans)
Specialties
1,680 settled consensus markets · held side won 72% at an average entry of 52¢- Esports
+44 pts
side won 99% of 180 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +43%
- College Football
+44 pts
side won 96% of 48 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +44%
- Other Sports
+43 pts
side won 95% of 57 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +43%
Weakest: NHL — held side won 51% of 244 at an average 52¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI −8%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 41% of 17)
- 30–50¢: 34%(won 63% of 563)
- 50–70¢: 65%(won 76% of 1085)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 15)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.