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C1
Consensus PnL $36K · win rate 59% (27–19, n=46) · was PM monthly #895 · holds 2 consensus positions
0xc14e1840...161339a5Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$36.3K
Record
27W / 19L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 46 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1254
Source
PM monthly #895
Trades
34
Markets
52
Volume
$172.7K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?No $961 · now 90¢ · in at 59¢with the consensus (71% of 7)
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No $387 · now 97¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (69% of 13)
Specialties
40 settled consensus markets · held side won 60% at an average entry of 45¢- MMA
+25 pts
side won 68% of 19 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +23%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 20%(won 25% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 35%(won 43% of 14)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 88% of 16)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.