Consensus PnL -$1.0K · win rate 49% (196–201, n=397) · was PM monthly #883 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-1.0K
Record
196W / 201L
Win Rate
49.0%
of 397 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1845
Source
PM monthly #883
Trades
11
Markets
448
Volume
$191.9K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-11-02?Yes $878 · now 42¢ · in at 44¢with the consensus (71% of 7)
Specialties
153 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 54¢- Soccer
+44 pts
side won 98% of 95 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +41%
- Esports
+48 pts
side won 100% of 33 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +51%
- Other Sports
+51 pts
side won 100% of 11 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +49%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 46%(won 97% of 71)
- 50–70¢: 41%(won 98% of 62)
- 70¢ and up: 12%(won 100% of 18)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.