Consensus PnL $93K · win rate 62% (186–112, n=298) · PM monthly #324 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$92.7K
Record
186W / 112L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 298 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1075
Source
PM monthly #324
Trades
281
Markets
318
Volume
$1.6M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo SonegoLorenzo Sonego $5.2K · now 100¢ · in at 57¢with the consensus (55% of 24)
Specialties
241 settled consensus markets · held side won 76% at an average entry of 53¢- NBA
+36 pts
side won 86% of 21 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +30%
- Tennis
+25 pts
side won 79% of 86 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +15%
- MMA
+21 pts
side won 77% of 39 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +11%
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 50% of 22 at an average 50¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI −6%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 75% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 37%(won 77% of 90)
- 50–70¢: 52%(won 74% of 125)
- 70¢ and up: 9%(won 91% of 22)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.