Consensus PnL $27K · win rate 64% (197–111, n=308) · was PM monthly #998 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$26.7K
Record
197W / 111L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 308 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#987
Source
PM monthly #998
Record (90 d)
143/148 · 97%
Trades
3
Markets
502
Volume
$251.6K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerOG $1.4K · now 0¢ · in at 55¢against the consensus (Yellow Submarine)
- Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters PlayoffsYellow Submarine $1.0K · now 100¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (40% of 37)
- Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group Cpotn9ki $105 · now 32¢ · in at 34¢against the consensus (HellNight-)
Specialties
166 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 64¢- Esports
+36 pts
side won 99% of 166 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 100% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 100% of 40)
- 50–70¢: 30%(won 100% of 50)
- 70¢ and up: 41%(won 99% of 68)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.