Consensus PnL $88K · win rate 52% (4841–4516, n=9357) · PM monthly #962 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$88.5K
Record
4841W / 4516L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 9357 settled
Batting Avg
81.2%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1067
Source
PM monthly #962
Record (90 d)
1388/1458 · 95%
Trades
115,584
Markets
12,208
Volume
$1.5M
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Specialties
3,027 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 56¢- Crypto
+38 pts
side won 97% of 1801 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +38%
- MLB
+37 pts
side won 100% of 448 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +36%
- Soccer
+35 pts
side won 97% of 67 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +36%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 33% of 369)
- 30–50¢: 18%(won 92% of 548)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 98% of 1333)
- 70¢ and up: 26%(won 99% of 777)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.