Consensus PnL $146K · win rate 68% (510–237, n=747) · hand-picked wallet · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$146.4K
Record
510W / 237L
Win Rate
68.0%
of 747 settled
Batting Avg
54.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#817
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
54,135
Markets
1,355
Volume
$6.5M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No $26K · now 87¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (33% of 15)
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No $4.7K · now 94¢ · in at 87¢with the consensus (9% of 11)
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes $573 · now 13¢ · in at 10¢with the consensus (92% of 12)
Specialties
782 settled consensus markets · held side won 79% at an average entry of 73¢- Soccer
+7 pts
side won 82% of 679 · avg entry 74¢
ROI +4%
Weakest: College Basketball — held side won 21% of 24 at an average 38¢ entry (−17 pts against the price), ROI −1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 17% of 110)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 53% of 62)
- 50–70¢: 15%(won 75% of 119)
- 70¢ and up: 63%(won 97% of 491)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.