Consensus PnL -$95K · win rate 65% (62–34, n=96) · PM monthly #982 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-94.6K
Record
62W / 34L
Win Rate
65.0%
of 96 settled
Batting Avg
53.1%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#944
Source
PM monthly #982
Trades
11,233
Markets
1,292
Volume
$3.0M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin VacherotJiri Lehecka $1.9K · now 87¢ · in at 82¢with the consensus (65% of 27)
- Courmayeur: Noma Noha Akugue vs Alina CharaevaAlina Charaeva $651 · now 72¢ · in at 78¢with the consensus (82% of 11)
Specialties
411 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 81¢- Tennis
+18 pts
side won 99% of 345 · avg entry 81¢
ROI −2%
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 79% of 57 at an average 80¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI +3%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 0% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 79% of 19)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 95% of 65)
- 70¢ and up: 79%(won 98% of 323)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.