Consensus PnL $82K · win rate 41% (88–129, n=217) · hand-picked wallet · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$82.1K
Record
88W / 129L
Win Rate
41.0%
of 217 settled
Batting Avg
68.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2087
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
11,540
Markets
425
Volume
$2.2M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes $3.7K · now 8¢ · in at 7¢with the consensus (73% of 15)
Specialties
252 settled consensus markets · held side won 70% at an average entry of 53¢- MLB
+35 pts
side won 83% of 30 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +33%
- NFL
+14 pts
side won 62% of 68 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +17%
- MMA
+21 pts
side won 79% of 24 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +32%
Weakest: NBA — held side won 41% of 32 at an average 51¢ entry (−11 pts against the price), ROI −18%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 33% of 18)
- 30–50¢: 40%(won 64% of 101)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 71% of 90)
- 70¢ and up: 17%(won 98% of 43)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.