Consensus PnL $36K · win rate 71% (17–7, n=24) · hand-picked wallet · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$35.6K
Record
17W / 7L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 24 settled
Batting Avg
41.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#720
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
1,563
Markets
78
Volume
$499.5K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No $4.7K · now 96¢ · in at 91¢with the consensus (79% of 25)
Specialties
51 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 84¢- Mentions
+7 pts
side won 100% of 12 · avg entry 93¢
ROI +7%
Weakest: Crypto — held side won 60% of 10 at an average 71¢ entry (−11 pts against the price), ROI +8%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 0% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 4%(won 0% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 8%(won 100% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 84%(won 95% of 43)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.