Consensus PnL $27K · win rate 42% (47–66, n=113) · was PM monthly #826 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$26.8K
Record
47W / 66L
Win Rate
42.0%
of 113 settled
Batting Avg
69.2%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1486
Source
PM monthly #826
Record (90 d)
9/21 · 43%
Trades
609
Markets
119
Volume
$116.0K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBilibili Gaming $8.5K · now 53¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (47% of 77)
Specialties
109 settled consensus markets · held side won 43% at an average entry of 52¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Bb2de66666's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Esports — held side won 44% of 103 at an average 53¢ entry (−9 pts against the price), ROI +14%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 23% of 13)
- 30–50¢: 34%(won 35% of 37)
- 50–70¢: 37%(won 40% of 40)
- 70¢ and up: 17%(won 79% of 19)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.