Consensus PnL $65K · win rate 56% (5–4, n=9) · PM monthly #284 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$65.0K
Record
5W / 4L
Win Rate
56.0%
of 9 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#640
Source
PM monthly #284
Record (90 d)
5/9 · 56%
Trades
23
Markets
14
Volume
$280.0K
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Warriors $15K · now 32¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (40% of 46)
- Flyers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over $7.2K · now 11¢ · in at 46¢against the consensus (Under)
- Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5Under $3.6K · now 3¢ · in at 51¢against the consensus (Over)
Specialties
7 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 50¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where BrotherObama's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 43%(won 100% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 57%(won 75% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.