Consensus PnL -$88K · win rate 54% (175–152, n=327) · PM monthly #283 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-88.2K
Record
175W / 152L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 327 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#978
Source
PM monthly #283
Record (90 d)
63/63 · 100%
Trades
3,682
Markets
335
Volume
$1.8M
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz $4.9K · now 8¢ · in at 36¢against the consensus (MOUZ)
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsBetBoom Team $1.4K · now 0¢ · in at 38¢against the consensus (Natus Vincere)
Specialties
225 settled consensus markets · held side won 76% at an average entry of 57¢- Esports
+19 pts
side won 76% of 224 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +24%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 40% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 28%(won 67% of 63)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 82% of 99)
- 70¢ and up: 24%(won 85% of 53)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.