Consensus PnL $17K · win rate 64% (383–217, n=600) · was PM monthly #597 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$17.3K
Record
383W / 217L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 600 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#975
Source
PM monthly #597
Trades
26
Markets
662
Volume
$362.2K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No $591 · now 28¢ · in at 53¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes $46 · now 1¢ · in at 41¢with the consensus (91% of 11)
Specialties
478 settled consensus markets · held side won 63% at an average entry of 65¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Champions26's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 63% of 471 at an average 65¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 32% of 19)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 34% of 38)
- 50–70¢: 48%(won 57% of 230)
- 70¢ and up: 40%(won 79% of 191)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.