Consensus PnL $73K · win rate 51% (171–166, n=337) · PM monthly #317 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$72.7K
Record
171W / 166L
Win Rate
51.0%
of 337 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1704
Source
PM monthly #317
Trades
33
Markets
356
Volume
$485.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit $1.3K · now 100¢ · in at 56¢with the consensus (90% of 10)
Specialties
191 settled consensus markets · held side won 84% at an average entry of 50¢- Esports
+35 pts
side won 85% of 111 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +31%
- Soccer
+41 pts
side won 94% of 18 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +28%
- Other Sports
+39 pts
side won 90% of 21 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +47%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 25% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 38%(won 86% of 73)
- 50–70¢: 57%(won 84% of 109)
- 70¢ and up: 3%(won 100% of 5)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.