Consensus PnL $8.0K · win rate 68% (235–109, n=344) · was PM monthly #993 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$8.0K
Record
235W / 109L
Win Rate
68.0%
of 344 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#813
Source
PM monthly #993
Trades
27
Markets
410
Volume
$605.9K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Eagles vs. CommandersCommanders $380 · now 70¢ · in at 59¢with the consensus (69% of 58)
Specialties
268 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 47¢- NBA
+52 pts
side won 97% of 63 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +51%
- College Football
+47 pts
side won 96% of 92 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +46%
- NFL
+40 pts
side won 88% of 64 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +34%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 70% of 23)
- 30–50¢: 53%(won 86% of 141)
- 50–70¢: 34%(won 93% of 92)
- 70¢ and up: 4%(won 100% of 12)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.