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AE
Consensus PnL -$58K · win rate 47% (39–44, n=83) · was PM monthly #350 · holds 2 consensus positions
0xae7ffba3...ad666f49Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-58.0K
Record
39W / 44L
Win Rate
47.0%
of 83 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1933
Source
PM monthly #350
Trades
208
Markets
94
Volume
$1.7M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes $4.4K · now 23¢ · in at 25¢against the consensus (No)
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes $542 · now 5¢ · in at 5¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
39 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 63¢- Soccer
+37 pts
side won 100% of 25 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +37%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 18%(won 100% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 46%(won 100% of 18)
- 70¢ and up: 36%(won 100% of 14)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.