Consensus PnL -$15K · win rate 63% (93–55, n=148) · PM monthly #878 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-14.6K
Record
93W / 55L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 148 settled
Batting Avg
48.4%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1095
Source
PM monthly #878
Record (90 d)
22/23 · 96%
Trades
255
Markets
164
Volume
$531.6K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 WinnerInvictus Gaming $5.5K · now 100¢ · in at 56¢with the consensus (49% of 80)
Specialties
77 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 74¢- Esports
+22 pts
side won 93% of 30 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +23%
- Soccer
+20 pts
side won 89% of 28 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +8%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 86% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 92% of 24)
- 70¢ and up: 60%(won 96% of 46)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.