Consensus PnL $82K · win rate 68% (324–152, n=476) · PM monthly #275 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$81.5K
Record
324W / 152L
Win Rate
68.0%
of 476 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#822
Source
PM monthly #275
Trades
231
Markets
520
Volume
$60.0K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $8.5K · now 37¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (65% of 54)
Specialties
85 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 28¢- Tennis
+58 pts
side won 79% of 43 · avg entry 21¢
ROI +44%
- Esports
+59 pts
side won 95% of 20 · avg entry 36¢
ROI +42%
- Soccer
+23 pts
side won 64% of 14 · avg entry 42¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 75%(won 77% of 64)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 75% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 92% of 12)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 100% of 5)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.