Consensus PnL $17K · win rate 62% (71–43, n=114) · was PM monthly #918 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$17.5K
Record
71W / 43L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 114 settled
Batting Avg
94.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#714
Source
PM monthly #918
Record (90 d)
71/81 · 88%
Trades
1,008
Markets
143
Volume
$269.2K
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group APlayTime $2.1K · now 89¢ · in at 70¢against the consensus (Froglings)
Specialties
80 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 67¢- Esports
+20 pts
side won 87% of 79 · avg entry 67¢
ROI +14%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 50% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 11%(won 44% of 9)
- 50–70¢: 46%(won 89% of 37)
- 70¢ and up: 40%(won 100% of 32)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.