Consensus PnL $10K · win rate 86% (43–7, n=50) · hand-picked wallet · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$10.1K
Record
43W / 7L
Win Rate
86.0%
of 50 settled
Batting Avg
87.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#322
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
1,138
Markets
69
Volume
$253.6K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No $18K · now 94¢ · in at 90¢with the consensus (67% of 12)
Specialties
55 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 80¢- Geopolitics
+10 pts
side won 92% of 12 · avg entry 82¢
ROI +3%
- Politics
+3 pts
side won 92% of 12 · avg entry 89¢
ROI +3%
Weakest: Other Sports — held side won 50% of 10 at an average 52¢ entry (−2 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 25% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 40% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 9%(won 60% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 75%(won 95% of 41)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.