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PolyConsensus

Politics: what top Polymarket traders hold

Elections, geopolitics and the rest of politics in one list. These are the Politics markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.

A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.

Live consensus markets
865
Recently settled, consensus right
136 of 308
Prices as of
Nov 1, 14:41 UTC

Live Politics consensus markets (865)

Showing the 100 markets with the most traders of 865; the markets page has them all.

Top traders in Politics

Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Politics consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.

  1. 1.wan123+41 ptsside won 100% of 81 · avg entry 59¢ · ROI +46%
  2. 2.BigMackyG+41 ptsside won 87% of 46 · avg entry 46¢ · ROI +34%
  3. 3.JAMJAMJAM4+28 ptsside won 99% of 472 · avg entry 71¢ · ROI +21%
  4. 4.defillama7+38 ptsside won 97% of 31 · avg entry 59¢ · ROI +37%
  5. 5.0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271+32 ptsside won 94% of 94 · avg entry 62¢ · ROI +14%
  6. 6.TimeTraveler+30 ptsside won 59% of 276 · avg entry 29¢ · ROI +4%
  7. 7.PhongLeXBT+40 ptsside won 72% of 36 · avg entry 32¢ · ROI +12%
  8. 8.dromedaryy+44 ptsside won 82% of 22 · avg entry 38¢ · ROI +35%
  9. 9.flawfence+28 ptsside won 86% of 167 · avg entry 58¢ · ROI +21%
  10. 10.EsperanzasDESTROYER+42 ptsside won 78% of 23 · avg entry 37¢ · ROI +18%

Recently settled Politics markets

What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.

Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.