Consensus PnL $169K · win rate 64% (72–40, n=112) · PM monthly #219 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$169.2K
Record
72W / 40L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 112 settled
Batting Avg
77.6%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#675
Source
PM monthly #219
Record (90 d)
77/91 · 85%
Trades
1,276
Markets
123
Volume
$1.1M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?Yes $475 · now 20¢ · in at 20¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
88 settled consensus markets · held side won 84% at an average entry of 68¢- Soccer
+17 pts
side won 85% of 68 · avg entry 68¢
ROI +18%
- Tennis
+11 pts
side won 80% of 20 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 75% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 67% of 12)
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 78% of 27)
- 70¢ and up: 51%(won 93% of 45)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.