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9C
Consensus PnL $169K · win rate 80% (43–11, n=54) · PM monthly #115 · holds 2 consensus positions
0x9c56304c...d09878d1Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$169.3K
Record
43W / 11L
Win Rate
80.0%
of 54 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#443
Source
PM monthly #115
Trades
62
Markets
55
Volume
$533.2K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes $250K · now 0¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (100% of 6)
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsGen.G $2.4K · now 92¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
Specialties
41 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 51¢- Esports
+50 pts
side won 100% of 40 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +57%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 100% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 39%(won 100% of 16)
- 50–70¢: 20%(won 100% of 8)
- 70¢ and up: 27%(won 100% of 11)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.