Consensus PnL $14K · win rate 50% (868–885, n=1753) · PM monthly #153 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$13.6K
Record
868W / 885L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 1753 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1857
Source
PM monthly #153
Record (90 d)
520/1151 · 45%
Trades
476
Markets
1,950
Volume
$545.6K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters PlayoffsOG $90 · now 75¢ · in at 70¢with the consensus (100% of 6)
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)MOUZ $49 · now 92¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (56% of 17)
- Dota 2: LEGION vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters PlayoffsLEGION $39 · now 35¢ · in at 52¢against the consensus (HULIGANI)
Specialties
883 settled consensus markets · held side won 46% at an average entry of 44¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where GOLDCRYPT12's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 19%(won 26% of 169)
- 30–50¢: 45%(won 38% of 397)
- 50–70¢: 27%(won 62% of 240)
- 70¢ and up: 9%(won 79% of 77)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.