Consensus PnL $32K · win rate 46% (161–192, n=353) · PM monthly #225 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$32.3K
Record
161W / 192L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 353 settled
Batting Avg
75.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2152
Source
PM monthly #225
Record (90 d)
191/420 · 45%
Trades
1,024
Markets
363
Volume
$3.1M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Suns vs. WarriorsWarriors $9.2K · now 62¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (46% of 14)
Specialties
349 settled consensus markets · held side won 44% at an average entry of 45¢- NHL
+7 pts
side won 53% of 17 · avg entry 46¢
ROI −2%
Weakest: College Football — held side won 38% of 50 at an average 47¢ entry (−9 pts against the price), ROI −3%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 16%(won 14% of 56)
- 30–50¢: 37%(won 40% of 128)
- 50–70¢: 45%(won 55% of 156)
- 70¢ and up: 3%(won 78% of 9)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.