Consensus PnL $35K · win rate 100% (12–0, n=12) · PM monthly #602 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$35.4K
Record
12W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 12 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#5
Source
PM monthly #602
Record (90 d)
12/12 · 100%
Trades
59
Markets
13
Volume
$521.0K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?Yes $6.8K · now 81¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (40% of 29)
Specialties
12 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 91¢- Soccer
+8 pts
side won 100% of 11 · avg entry 92¢
ROI +8%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 12)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.