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Consensus PnL $283K · win rate 59% (54–37, n=91) · holds 2 consensus positions
0x80cd8310...b0ef0273Polymarket
🐋Whale⚖️Arb🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$283.0K
Record
54W / 37L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 91 settled
Batting Avg
70.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1253
Trades
1,035
Markets
468
Volume
$19.8M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2?No $34K · now 70¢ · in at 75¢with the consensus (100% of 6)
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 1?No $32K · now 100¢ · in at 84¢with the consensus (75% of 8)
Specialties
92 settled consensus markets · held side won 85% at an average entry of 71¢- Crypto
+15 pts
side won 86% of 86 · avg entry 71¢
ROI −4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 8% of 12)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 80% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 18%(won 88% of 17)
- 70¢ and up: 63%(won 100% of 58)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.