Consensus PnL $65K · win rate 63% (135–81, n=216) · PM monthly #486 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$64.6K
Record
135W / 81L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 216 settled
Batting Avg
83.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#744
Source
PM monthly #486
Record (90 d)
13/65 · 20%
Trades
113
Markets
276
Volume
$38.8K
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Specialties
193 settled consensus markets · held side won 17% at an average entry of 11¢- Crypto
+6 pts
side won 16% of 164 · avg entry 10¢
ROI +5%
- Entertainment
+4 pts
side won 15% of 20 · avg entry 11¢
ROI +1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 88%(won 7% of 170)
- 30–50¢: 1%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 5%(won 80% of 10)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 100% of 11)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.