Entertainment: what top Polymarket traders hold
Film, music, awards and TV. These are the Entertainment markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 31
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 5 of 5
- Prices as of
- Nov 1, 14:41 UTC
Live Entertainment consensus markets (31)
- No one announced as next James Bond?Traders hold No 60%12 of 20 tradersMarket price 83¢$106K held
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Traders hold Yes 85%17 of 20 tradersMarket price 91¢$73K held
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Traders hold Yes 58%11 of 19 tradersMarket price 56¢$41K held
- Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Traders hold No 57%8 of 15 tradersMarket price 59¢$21K held
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Traders hold Yes 67%8 of 13 tradersMarket price 45¢$22K heldagainst the market price
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Traders hold No 92%11 of 12 tradersMarket price 98¢$291K held
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Traders hold No 75%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 93¢$52K held
- Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Traders hold Yes 60%6 of 10 tradersMarket price 86¢$26K held
- Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Traders hold Yes 60%6 of 10 tradersMarket price 85¢$16K held
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Traders hold Yes 70%7 of 10 tradersMarket price 46¢$9K heldagainst the market price
- Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Traders hold No 40%4 of 10 tradersMarket price 74¢$7K held
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Traders hold No 89%8 of 9 tradersMarket price 97¢$52K held
- Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Traders hold Yes 29%2 of 7 tradersMarket price 56¢$18K held
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Traders hold Yes 86%6 of 7 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$3 heldagainst the market price
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Traders hold No 100%6 of 6 tradersMarket price 92¢$5K held
- Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Traders hold No 67%4 of 6 tradersMarket price 87¢$3K held
- Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Traders hold Yes 67%4 of 6 tradersMarket price 59¢$2K held
- Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Traders hold No 67%4 of 6 tradersMarket price 83¢$2K held
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Traders hold No 100%6 of 6 tradersMarket price 46¢$1K heldagainst the market price
- Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Traders hold Yes 67%4 of 6 tradersMarket price 7.0¢$381 heldagainst the market price
- Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?Traders hold Yes 83%5 of 6 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$5 heldagainst the market price
- Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?Traders hold Yes 83%5 of 6 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$4 heldagainst the market price
- Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Traders hold Yes 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 95¢$13K held
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Traders hold No 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 89¢$10K held
- Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Traders hold Yes 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 87¢$7K held
- Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Traders hold No 40%2 of 5 tradersMarket price 55¢$2K held
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?Traders hold Yes 75%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 64¢$927 held
- Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Traders hold Yes 80%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 37¢$737 heldagainst the market price
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?Traders hold Yes 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$21 heldagainst the market price
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Traders hold Yes 80%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$6 heldagainst the market price
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Traders hold Yes 80%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
Top traders in Entertainment
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Entertainment consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.eightpenguins+43 ptsside won 96% of 45 · avg entry 53¢ · ROI +41%
- 2.0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271+35 ptsside won 99% of 89 · avg entry 64¢ · ROI +32%
- 3.HerrieDavis+28 ptsside won 82% of 160 · avg entry 54¢ · ROI −1%
- 4.TimeTraveler+29 ptsside won 69% of 147 · avg entry 40¢ · ROI +1%
- 5.DOLLAR-PRINTER+41 ptsside won 100% of 16 · avg entry 59¢ · ROI +27%
- 6.singularityman+40 ptsside won 90% of 20 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +38%
- 7.troim+33 ptsside won 83% of 40 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +31%
- 8.JAMJAMJAM4+25 ptsside won 100% of 32 · avg entry 75¢ · ROI +25%
- 9.cry.eth2+16 ptsside won 24% of 2288 · avg entry 8¢ · ROI +12%
- 10.peepeepooppoop+16 ptsside won 86% of 177 · avg entry 70¢ · ROI −2%
Recently settled Entertainment markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- GTA VI released by October 31?Result: NoTraders held No 100%consensus was right
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Result: NoTraders held No 83%consensus was right
- Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?Result: NoTraders held No 50%consensus was right
- Next James Bond announced by October 31, 2026?Result: NoTraders held No 57%consensus was right
- Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Result: NoTraders held No 83%consensus was right
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.