Consensus PnL -$4.6K · win rate 85% (33–6, n=39) · PM monthly #574 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-4.6K
Record
33W / 6L
Win Rate
85.0%
of 39 settled
Batting Avg
77.6%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#252
Source
PM monthly #574
Record (90 d)
30/37 · 81%
Trades
3,562
Markets
105
Volume
$2.4M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 $40K · now 100¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (53% of 116)
Specialties
35 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 79¢- Esports
+4 pts
side won 84% of 32 · avg entry 80¢
ROI +9%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 0% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 17%(won 67% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 71%(won 92% of 25)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.