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B8
Consensus PnL $76K · win rate 69% (117–52, n=169) · was PM monthly #966 · holds 4 consensus positions
0xb8e32d57...e444aaf2Polymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$76.4K
Record
117W / 52L
Win Rate
69.0%
of 169 settled
Batting Avg
75.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#792
Source
PM monthly #966
Trades
337
Markets
183
Volume
$1.7M
Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 4 on the consensus side (100%)- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No $122K · now 97¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (68% of 34)
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No $74K · now 99¢with the consensus (100% of 14)
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No $62K · now 92¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (64% of 34)
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No $28K · now 97¢ · in at 91¢with the consensus (67% of 16)
Specialties
117 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 73¢- Tennis
+26 pts
side won 100% of 105 · avg entry 74¢
ROI +24%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 100% of 9)
- 50–70¢: 26%(won 100% of 30)
- 70¢ and up: 67%(won 100% of 78)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.