Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 52% (419–386, n=805) · was PM monthly #997 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$15.7K
Record
419W / 386L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 805 settled
Batting Avg
61.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1762
Source
PM monthly #997
Record (90 d)
505/599 · 84%
Trades
2,107
Markets
895
Volume
$399.0K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATeam Falcons $985 · now 69¢ · in at 70¢against the consensus (Heroic)
Specialties
531 settled consensus markets · held side won 85% at an average entry of 56¢- Esports
+29 pts
side won 86% of 408 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +24%
- Soccer
+28 pts
side won 76% of 75 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +17%
- NBA
+29 pts
side won 90% of 40 · avg entry 61¢
ROI +25%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 68% of 25)
- 30–50¢: 22%(won 73% of 117)
- 50–70¢: 62%(won 89% of 329)
- 70¢ and up: 11%(won 92% of 60)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.